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PRMIA Operational Risk Manager (ORM) Sample Questions:

1. The CDS rate on a defaultable bond is approximated by which of the following expressions:

A) Loss given default x Default hazard rate
B) Hazard rate / (1 - Recovery rate)
C) Credit spread x Loss given default
D) Hazard rate x Recovery rate

2. Which of the following are valid approaches to leveraging external loss data for modeling operational risks:
I. Both internal and external losses can be fitted with distributions,and a weighted average approach using these distributions is relied upon for capital calculations.
II. External loss data is used to inform scenario modeling.
III. External loss data is combined with internal loss data points, and distributions fitted to the combined data set.
IV. External loss data is used to replace internal loss data points to create a higher quality data set to fit distributions.

A) All of the above
B) I, II and III
C) I and III
D) II and IV

3. The probability of default of a security over a 1 year period is 3%. What is the probability that it would not have defaulted at theend of four years from now?

A) 88.53%
B) 12.00%
C) 11.47%
D) 88.00%

4. Under the contingent claims approach to measuring credit risk, which of the following factors does NOT affect credit risk:

A) Maturity of the debt
B) Cash flows of the firm
C) Leverage in the capital structure
D) Volatility of the firm's asset values

5. The loss severity distribution for operational risk loss events is generally modeled by which of the following distributions:
I. the lognormal distribution
II. The gamma density function
III. Generalized hyperbolic distributions
IV. Lognormal mixtures

A) I, II and III
B) II and III
C) I and III
D) I, II, III and IV

Solutions: